What the cold does to a heat pump here
Winter is the whole question in Conejos County. Heat runs eleven months a year here, August through June, and the overnight low averages 9°F across December, January and February. That number is what decides this, more than the running cost does.
A standard heat pump starts losing ground before it gets anywhere near that cold. Below 40°F it already puts out less heat than its rating says, and below about 35°F it typically needs backup heat to make up the difference. Here, every single night that drops to freezing or below is colder than both of those marks. That's about 215 nights a year, over half the nights the heat is running.
Then there are the nights that go further. About 35 nights a year here hit 0°F or colder, a season low averaging 9°F. A standard heat pump at that temperature is putting out only a fraction of its rated heat, right when the house needs the most.
This doesn't rule out a heat pump. It rules out a standard one. A model built to the ENERGY STAR Cold Climate spec is tested to hold at least 70 percent of its 47°F capacity at 5°F, and to still produce 1.75 units of heat per unit of electricity at that temperature. A field test of prototype cold-climate heat pumps over two winters found backup heat carried only a small share of the load between 0°F and 35°F, and the units ran on backup alone only rarely, even below 0°F. If a heat pump is on the table here, that spec is what makes it workable. A standard one will lean on its backup heat for most of the winter.











