What the cold here does to a heat pump
Your winter low here averages 16°F, and that matters more than the running-cost numbers above. A standard heat pump starts losing heating capacity below 40°F, and below about 35°F it usually needs backup heat to keep up. Here, every one of the roughly 170 nights a year at or below freezing falls under both marks. That's not a cold snap a few times a winter. That's most of the heating season.
On top of that, about 11 nights a year drop to 0°F or below. A standard heat pump still makes some heat down there, but only a fraction of what it's rated for, which is exactly when your house needs the most. That gap gets filled by backup heat, usually electric resistance, and electric resistance heat is expensive to run.
There's a real exception. A heat pump built to the ENERGY STAR Cold Climate standard has to prove it still makes 1.75 units of heat for every unit of electricity at 5°F, and holds onto at least 70 percent of its warm-weather capacity at that temperature. Field tests of these units in occupied homes found backup heat carried only a small share of the load between 0°F and 35°F, and running on backup alone was rare even above 0°F. That changes the math in this county. A standard heat pump and a cold-climate one are not the same purchase here.











