What winter here does to a heat pump
Your winter low here averages 17°F. That number decides this. A standard heat pump starts falling short of its rated heat output below 40°F and often needs backup heat below about 35°F. Seventeen is under both marks, and so is every one of the roughly 160 nights a year here that hit freezing or below, over half the nights across the nine months your heat runs.
That does not mean the house goes cold. It means the heat pump is leaning on backup heat, usually electric resistance, through most of the winter here, not just on the rare hard freeze. The $1.99 per 100,000 Btu figure on this page is the heat pump at its rated efficiency with nothing added for that backup heat, so a real winter night here likely costs more to heat than that number says.
There is a version built for this kind of cold. Heat pumps carrying the ENERGY STAR Cold Climate label are tested to hold at least 70 percent of their rated capacity at 5°F and still make more heat than the electricity put into them. In field tests of these units, backup heat covered only a small share of the output between 0°F and 35°F, and running on backup alone was rare even then. That is the version that holds up through a winter here. A standard heat pump is not.











