What winter here does to a heat pump
Your winter low here averages 16°F. A standard heat pump starts falling short of its rating below 40°F, and below about 35°F it usually needs backup heat to keep the house warm. Your average night is below both of those marks. So is every one of the roughly 155 nights a year here that drop to freezing or colder, over half the nights in the eight months your heat runs.
That does not mean the heat pump stops working. It means that on more than half the nights of your heating season, it is either leaning on backup heat or putting out less than its rated capacity. A gas furnace does not have that problem. Built to the federal minimum, it holds its output whether it is 30°F or 10°F outside.
About 5 nights a year here reach 0°F or below, a small share of the winter. Field testing on cold-climate heat pumps found backup heat only covered a small part of the load between 0°F and 35°F, and running on backup alone was rare even at 0°F. That is for a heat pump built and tested for cold climates. If you want a heat pump for a house here, look for the ENERGY STAR Cold Climate mark, which requires real tested output at 5°F. The running-cost numbers above assume a heat pump built only to the federal minimum, not one carrying that mark.











