What the cold does to a heat pump here
Winter nights here average 17°F. About 180 of them drop to freezing or below, over half the nights in the nine months your heat runs. A standard heat pump starts losing ground before it even gets that cold. Below 40°F it puts out less heat than its rating says. Below about 35°F it usually needs backup heat to make up the difference. Every one of your 180 freezing nights falls under both marks.
The heat pump priced in the running-cost comparison above is built to the federal minimum, the kind made for an average climate, not nine months of freezing nights. A cold-climate model is a different machine. To carry the ENERGY STAR Cold Climate label, it has to hold at least 70 percent of its heating capacity at 5°F and still make 1.75 units of heat for every unit of electricity at that temperature, verified by outside testing. If a heat pump goes into a house here, that rating is what to check for.
Your coldest nights, the roughly 9 a year at 0°F or below, are the extreme, not the rule. Field testing on cold-climate heat pumps in occupied homes found backup heat covered only a small share of the load between 0°F and 35°F, and running on backup alone was rare even above 0°F. A cold-climate heat pump handles the range your winter actually sits in. A standard one is not built for it.











